Germany produces 1.6 million more e-cars

By 2025, nearly 1.6 million e-cars will be produced in Germany, accounting for almost 30 percent of total domestic vehicle production. From this point on, suppliers can expect a noticeable shift in value creation from conventional to electrified drives. These are the findings of the study "Electromobility Strategies of Automobile Manufacturers" by the automotive supplier network AMZ http://amz-sachsen.de and the Chemnitz Automotive Institute (CATI) http://cati.institute .

30 percent by 2025

The AMZ and CATI analysts have examined the strategies and product plans of Volkswagen, Audi, Porsche, Daimler, BMW, Opel and Ford. They show the models and unit numbers planned up to 2025, the planned development of the plant locations building e-vehicles or producing e-components, and other technological trends. On this basis, production of around 1.6 million e-cars in Germany is forecast for 2025. With total domestic production remaining roughly at today's level of around 5.6 million cars per year, the share of e-cars will rise to just under 30 percent. Today, it is well below five percent.

"If the export ratio remains as high as it is today - 77 percent of passenger cars produced in Germany are exported - fully electric passenger cars can be expected to account for around ten percent of new registrations on the domestic market at that time. Today, the figure is one percent. For this expected market penetration, the necessary infrastructures must also be provided," warn CATI board member Werner Olle and AMZ manager Dirk Vogel.

Growth in Saxony

The study forecasts different results for Saxony in terms of production figures. "Unlike the national average, the volume of vehicles produced in Saxony in 2025 will grow by around 15 percent compared with 2017, from 740,000 today to 850,000 in the future. The share of all-electric vehicles will reach an order of magnitude of 40 to 45 percent and will thus be considerably higher than the national average. Almost one in four all-electric vehicles manufactured in Germany would therefore come from Saxony in 2025," said Olle.

These forecasts are based on the transformation of the VW plant in Zwickau into a pure e-vehicle production site for several brands and an associated increase in capacity, as well as the plant expansion at BMW Leipzig, which will also result in an increase in capacity. In addition, the construction of an e-vehicle is also planned at Porsche Leipzig.

"For the supplier industry, this means that it must now, at the latest, prepare for the rapidly growing production volume of battery electric vehicles in Germany and define its strategic orientation for the next five to ten years on the basis of the associated changes in value creation structures. This applies not only to activities in Germany, but to an even greater extent to China as the world's leading market for the modern automotive industry," summarize Olle and Vogel.